Pai Gow Poker House Odds

admin  3/27/2022

We’ve covered basic and advanced Pai Gow Poker strategy elsewhere on this site. We provided a detailed blueprint for splitting your cards based upon their individual values and combined hand rankings. If you follow basic strategy, you’ll do well.

Learn the Pai Gow Poker Odds To Become a Master of the Game

If you apply a few of our advanced tweaks, you’ll maximize your winnings and minimize your losses.

It’s important to underscore that the strategy we’ve given you – both basic and advanced – is based completely on Pai Gow Poker odds.

On this page, we’ll give you a crash course on Pai Gow Poker odds and hand probabilities. We’ll explain the basics before digging more deeply into the details. We’ll also describe the odds you’re facing as you square off against the dealer. You won’t need to remember anything that you’re about to learn in order to enjoy the game and play like a professional. However, a basic understanding of Pai Gow Poker odds provides useful insight into the probability of beating the dealer.

Pai Gow Poker is one of those games that polarizes gamblers. Apparently, you either love it or hate it. A lot of opinions are based purely on misinformation. As a matter of fact, Pai Gow Poker is one of those games that every gambler can play well and enjoy. One of the factors of Pai Gow Poker that puts off newbies is its house advantage.

  1. A 'pai gow' in pai gow poker is a hand with seven singletons, where no straight or flush is possible. This side bet wins if the player had a pai gow, the lower the highest card, the more it pays. The following return table shows the details. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 7.35%.
  2. Many in the poker community believe that it is essential that the player have some mathematical skills and be able to calculate the house edge and win at Pai Gow Poker. Here are some tips to win at Pai Gow Poker. Understand The Rules And Betting Patterns –This is a standard tip for any poker game, and even more so with Pai Gow Poker.
  3. Here's a pretty fundamental question that I've never seen addressed before: In pai gow poker, where the Fortune bonus (or whatever your house calls it Pai Gow Poker - Hand Rankings - Casino Dealer Forums Main Index Page.
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Basic Pai Gow Poker Odds

Pai Gow Poker House Odds

The game of Pai Gow is played with 53 cards – a standard 52-card deck and a joker. There are 154,143,080 possible hand combinations that can emerge from those 53 cards. You’ll remember that Pai Gow Poker is based on traditional hand rankings. Those include pairs, straights, 3s of a kind, flushes, full houses, 4s of a kind, and straight and royal flushes. Because the joker functions as an Ace (if it cannot be used to complete a straight or flush), it is also possible to make a hand with 5 Aces.

What Are The Odds Pai Gow Poker Progressive Jackpots ...

First, here are the number of combinations for making each hand:

  • Single Pair: 64,221,960
  • Two Pairs: 35,553,816
  • Straight: 11,236,028
  • 3 of a Kind: 7,470,676
  • Flush: 6,172,088
  • Full House: 4,188,528
  • 4 of a Kind: 307,472
  • Straight Flush or Royal Flush: 210,964
  • 5 Aces: 1,128

Now, here are the probabilities for making each hand:

  • Single Pair: 0.416639
  • Two Pairs: 0.230655
  • Straight: 0.072894
  • 3 of a Kind: 0.048466
  • Flush: 0.040041
  • Full House: 0.027173
  • 4 of a Kind: 0.001995
  • Straight Flush or Royal Flush: 0.001369
  • 5 Aces: 0.000007

Let’s convert those probabilities into Pai Gow Poker odds (binary format):

  • Single Pair: 1 in 1.40
  • Two Pairs: 1 in 3.34
  • Straight: 1 in 12.72
  • 3 of a Kind: 1 in 19.63
  • Flush: 1 in 23.97
  • Full House: 1 in 35.80
  • 4 of a Kind: 1 in 500.25
  • Straight Flush or Royal Flush: 1 in 729.46
  • 5 Aces: 1 in 142,856

Those are the basic odds in pai gow poker. They only take into account the odds and probabilities of making ranked hands from your initial seven cards. They ignore the manner in which you split your cards.

Advanced Pai Gow Poker Odds: Digging More Deeply

Pai Gow Poker House Odds

Understanding your odds of making specific ranked hands is useful, but mostly in the context of your chances of beating the dealer’s two hands. In other words, suppose that you receive three Kings within your 7-card hand. If you split them and place two Kings in your 2-card hand, there’s a high likelihood that you’ll beat the dealer’s 2-card hand. The probability of the dealer’s 2-card hand containing two Kings is approximately 0.0103.

On the other hand, if you keep the three Kings intact within your 5-card hand, your odds of winning that hand are much lower. There are far more combinations the dealer can make that will outrank your three Kings.

Admittedly, considering Pai Gow Poker odds in this context is an academic exercise. But, it’s still worth noting.

Gow

Pai Gow Poker Odds: Player Versus Dealer

The house edge is 2.66%. That number is based on the probability of three different outcomes: winning both hands, tying, or losing both hands. To clarify, by “tie,” we’re referring to a push; you win one hand and lose one hand. We’re not referring to an event in which one of your hands is identical to the dealer’s, a circumstance in which the dealer would win.

There is a 28.61% probability that you’ll win both hands. There’s a 29.91% chance you’ll lose both hands. And there’s a 41.48% chance that you’ll tie, or push. Those numbers may not seem to support the 2.66% edge. The missing factor is the 5% commission the house takes when you win both hands.

Where To Test Pai Gow Poker Odds

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Pai Gow Poker House Odds Nfl Week 11

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House Edge
Casino Games

Gamblers - whether you are a 1st timer or seasoned gambling veteran, knowing what your odds of winning per each game in a casino is vitally important. Please enjoy the information below and best of Luck in the casino.

Based on typical Las Vegas Casino rules, please note variations will occur. Variations will occur depending on individual House rules and various promotions or special situations. We define true definition of House Edge as the ratio of the average loss to the initial bet.

Game Bet/Rules House Edge
BaccaratBanker 1.17%
BaccaratPlayer 1.36%
BaccaratTie (pays 8:1) 14.12%
Big Six$1 11.11%
Big Six$2 16.67%
Big Six$5 22.22%
Big Six$10 18.52%
Big Six$20 22.22%
Big SixJoker/Logo 24.07%
BlackjackSingle Deck0.20%
BlackjackDouble Deck0.35%
BlackjackFour Decks0.51%
BlackjackSix Decks0.60%
BlackjackEight Decks0.63%
Caribbean Stud Poker5.22%
CrapsPass/Come 1.41%
CrapsDon't Pass/Don't Come 1.40%
CrapsPass + 1X Odds0.85%
CrapsPass + 2X Odds0.61%
CrapsPass + 5X Odds0.32%
CrapsPass + 10X Odds0.18%
CrapsPass + 100X Odds0.02%
CrapsField (2:1 on 12) 5.56%
CrapsField (3:1 on 12) 2.78%
CrapsAny craps 11.11%
CrapsBig 6,8 9.09%
CrapsHard 4,10 11.11%
CrapsHard 6,8 9.09%
CrapsPlace (to win) 6,8 1.52%
CrapsPlace (to win) 5,9 4.00%
CrapsPlace (to win) 4,10 6.67%
CrapsPlace (to lose) 6,8 1.82%
CrapsPlace (to lose) 5,9 2.50%
CrapsPlace (to lose) 4,10 3.03%
CrapsProposition 2,12 13.89%
CrapsProposition 3,11 11.11%
CrapsProposition 7 16.67%
Double Down Stud2.67%
Keno25%-29%
Let it Ride3.51%
Pai Gow Poker2.50%
Red Dog

Six decks

2.69%
Roulette (Single Zero)2.70%
Roulette (Double Zero)5.26%
Sic-Bo2.78%-47.22%
Slot Machines$.05 15.20%
Slot Machines$.25 10.20%
Slot Machines$.50 9.10%
Slot Machines$1 8.10%
Slot Machines$5 5.50%
Slot Machines$25 5.30%
Slot Machines$100 3.90%
Spanish 210.82%
Three Card PokerPair Plus 2.32%
Three Card PokerAnte & Play 1.46%
Video Poker5/6/8005.00%
Video Poker6/9/8000.46%
Video Poker6/9/1000-0.07%
WarGo to war on Ties 2.88%
WarSurrender on Ties 3.70%
WarBet on Ties 18.65%

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